4 years ago by willvarfar
(Webjanitor) sorry the site is slow to load, Iām actually amazed itās holding up at all considering how itās really not dimensioned to! It is a one core vm with no ram and Mb throttle: itās normally doing a few dozen visitors a minute, kinda thing.
Thereās loads more super interesting tech posts on this blog, so do bookmark and visit later when itās quieter :)
4 years ago by chordalkeyboard
His book is also worth a purchase.
4 years ago by undefined
4 years ago by londons_explore
The logical next step for these submarines is to go autonomous, and be minuaritized.
Small 6 feet long submarines which just head to a predetermined gps coordinate and travel at 1 mph, powered by a solar panel floating a few inches under the water surface would be very hard to detect without very specialist tech. They could probably be built for $1000 each without any custom built parts - simple RC plane servos, a compass and GPS, and an arduino should suffice.
The smugglers could then head out at their leisure and pick them out of the water after their 2/3 month transit time.
4 years ago by RileyJames
This is what you're looking for: http://www.seacharger.com/
Made it from Cali to Hawaii, and then started on to NZ before it got crushed by something.
Still, fair distance to cover. And this was a first attempt. I'd bet there are plenty of these things out there moving drugs around.
He mentions receive contacts from drug smugglers via the website.
Edit: Looks like they've continued on building components: https://www.bluetrailengineering.com/
4 years ago by kubanczyk
> what you're looking for
It's a boat, not a submarine. The low profile makes it harder to detect from the sea. Not from the air, though.
At max 2-3 knots it can only go with the current (not against). Needs calm-ish conditions, if it is to reach the destination as opposed to any random place.
4 years ago by naikrovek
That's a lot of naysaying for a boat that autonomously got itself from California to Hawaii successfully.
4 years ago by joekrill
What a cool project! Really enjoyed reading about the recovery. Crazy how well that thing held up.
4 years ago by m4rtink
I would assume the ocean would just shredd something so flimsy to pieces even with normal wave action, let alone a major storm. If you want something to survive 2-3 months in the ocean it needs to be quite sturdy.
4 years ago by cpach
OTOH the drug cartels probably have lots of money to invest. So if they need something sturdy they could probably hire a team to build that.
4 years ago by sgt
It's hard enough sometimes for normal companies to find the right resources. How many engineers are willing to work for cartels? Either they can do that by means of threat or fear, or finding the least ethically minded engineers that are looking for lots of money. I bet both cases are difficult to manage.
4 years ago by arethuza
Not to mention the collision risk of something lurking just under the surface with no lights or a radar reflector.
4 years ago by neuronic
Yea because that's what drug cartels care about. Package loss is part of the process.
4 years ago by twic
That means having your capital tied up in in-transit drugs for two or three months. The cost of that may outweigh the savings from automation.
You also lose the ability to react quickly to market demand.
That approach might be suitable for established industries, but probably not for innovative, disruptive players in a winner-takes-all market like drug cartels.
4 years ago by sgt
Add to the fact that the cartels don't really care too much about their drug mules.
4 years ago by londons_explore
Every drug mule is a potential informant, and one more possible leak of the to/from information about the trade.
With an autonomous step in the chain, there is no human who knows where the craft is going to drive to. If anyone picks it out of the water it can be programmed to erase information about where it's headed towards.
4 years ago by x86ARMsRace
The cartels likely already see these as "automated", given that, like you said, the mules are very low value to them. Maybe not automated, but definitely 'autonomous'.
4 years ago by londons_explore
> That means having your capital tied up in in-transit drugs for two or three months.
The cost of borrowing is at record lows across much of the world. I suspect it's the same in the criminal underworld too...
4 years ago by ohadron
Pretty sure that with the funding available for this sort of projects this is already very much happening.
Check out this genius who's building this sort of stuff on his own: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8zetRlliUO4
4 years ago by csense
Military subs have a lot high-tech stealth tech (much of it classified) to hide their electronic signals, engine noise, and so on.
How do these vessels routinely get through, and they have very little stealth tech? If the Spanish / NATO / US military ignores them or can't see them, doesn't that mean actual (enemy) Chinese / Iranian / Russian subs can get away with a lot by pretending to be simple drug smuggling boats?
Maybe the military lets drug smugglers operate, and even ignores foreign governments doing submarine subterfuge like bugging undersea cables or dropping spies / equipment onto shores at night? The purpose of turning a blind eye to be protecting information about anti-sub capabilities, if the drug kingpins or enemy spymasters don't know which of their missions successfully maintained secrecy? Maybe when the anti-sub network alerts successfully, they watch the spies and equipment that lands from a distance with high-tech drones / satellites (or heck, a simple patrol squad with night vision binoculars), follow them for a few months, then tip off the cops (if it's a mere drug cartel) or send counterintelligence to arrest them (in case of actual spies). So the enemy has to guess whether they got seen on the submarine landing, or were compromised by some other means.
That these boats can get through might be a catastrophic failure of anti-sub tech, or it might be part of the normal I-know-you-know game of international espionage. I suppose we civilians wouldn't be able to tell the difference. Perhaps the biggest clue is that drug subs have been a thing for many years, but there's a notable lack of public alarm from military / politicians over it. Given that, I'd put my money on the hypothesis that the military knows exactly what the smugglers are up to, but chooses to ignore it to keep anti-sub capabilities and weaknesses secret.
4 years ago by overlordalex
Drug smuggling submarines are much closer to pre-world-war-2 submarines than the nuclear military submarines you may be thinking of.
These submarines are essentially boats that sit with almost all of their profile under water, and often may not even be able to submerge at all.
Their purpose is to reduce the visible portion of the boat above the water to the absolute minimum. A small swell is enough to hide these submarines from view.
Noone is especially looking for these as they sound and travel like typical boats
4 years ago by jameshart
But surely if you want to just look and sound like an ordinary boat, you donāt need to run partially submerged with waves over your deck and a low profile hull - you could just... use an ordinary boat?
4 years ago by lazide
A small boat of the size most governments are going to ignore struggle to move tons of drugs, or carry more than 1-2 people. Which is what these subs are doing.
4 years ago by jki275
reduces radar signature. The higher you stick up out of the water, the further away you can be detected by surface radar.
4 years ago by Broken_Hippo
Because you want the best of both worlds: The profile of a small boat, and the carrying capacity of something much larger. Hence, large boat that mimicks a small ordinary boat by many measures.
I'm also sure the increase in ordinary boats (which you'd need for carrying capacity) would be noticed.
4 years ago by victorfonseca
Looks like you understand it better than the police, huehuehue!
4 years ago by sudosysgen
Submarines are inherently quite stealthy.
Military submarines need all that tech to be able to hide from active surveillance - I assume no one is staging ASW operations against Narco submarines.
And yes, Chinese/Russian subs can get away with a ton as long as they don't get detected.
4 years ago by csense
> I assume no one is staging ASW operations against Narco submarines.
Subs on covert missions don't exactly fly flags. I find it hard to believe there's anti-sub tech that can tell if a given vessel is being operated by cartel members or the Russian navy.
Well, yes, if it's a high-tech vessel then it's obviously some nation-state. But if you know your enemy always goes after high-tech subs and ignores low-tech subs, Russia can simply build a fleet of low-tech subs and use them, knowing the NATO commander on duty will take a glance at the sonar readout and say "Ahh it's those drug smugglers again, law enforcement's business, not our problem, we do nothing, boys."
Point is, they should be doing ASW operations against the Narcos, if they can't tell without boarding the sub whether it's the Narcos or the Russians.
While it's probably impossible for the Narcos to build a Russian-looking sub, I'm sure it'd be pretty easy for the Russians to build a Narco-looking sub. And the Russians have quite an incentive to do so if, as you assert, "nobody's staging ASW operations against Narco submarines."
4 years ago by mandevil
Errr, this is very different, but not because of the submarine.
Modern ASW[1] is based on the idea that Russian subs come from Russian bases. US and NATO submarines (and airplanes and ships and undersea sonar arrays etc.) pay a lot of attention to those bases. They are constantly looking for anything coming out of those bases, and then they can follow and track them across the ocean. But saying "somewhere in the Atlantic ocean there is a submarine, let's go find it" is not how modern ASW works. Think of it like looking through a telescope- in order to see something you have to shrink your field of view a lot, but when you narrow your field of view you can look pretty clearly at that one spot. The trick is cuing to point the telescope at the right spot. That's where the difference between a Navy and drug smuggling organization becomes clear.
Drug smuggling submarines are, at least as far as I am aware, generally built in situ on random uninhabited spots, by small groups over the course of a few weeks, then sail to another random spot to deliver their cargo (in Latin America they tend to build on the coast, in Europe they tend to build inland and then truck to the coast). They try to avoid busy shipping lanes or other high traffic areas, try to avoid sending messages via radio or anything like that. The whole point is that there is nothing to cue anyone. That's why drug smuggling submarines are different from real navy submarines. Real navies need facilities that appear to satellites, they need training time which can be observed, they need coordination between ships which means communications, etc. Real navies have to deal with their sailors revealing their locations on VK or Strava. Drug smugglers organize their lives so they don't leave any of that. And when they do slip up and someone can cue the police, the coast guard, or the navy, the submarine gets found just like a real navy submarine does.
[1]: With the very important caveat that over the last 30 years the USN has allowed it's ASW capabilities to atrophy, due to the atrophy of the USSR/RU submarine fleet. But, to look at what they did back when they cared about ASW google: GUIK Gap, SOSUS, SURTASS, Classic Wizard. Those were all about getting ASW assets close to Soviet submarines, and then letting them go to work.
4 years ago by ethbr0
> I find it hard to believe there's anti-sub tech that can tell if a given vessel is being operated by cartel members or the Russian navy.
Passive sonar could trivially differentiate between military and civilian engines in the 1980s. And within those, often fingerprint individual vessels by their machinery quirks / lack of maintenance.
And that was without heavy computer pre-processing.
The more cogent point is: why would navies care?
30' length x 10' beam
Modern diesel / AIP examples are in the 200' x 20' range?
There isn't enough room to put credible military capability on a vessel this size. And if you're going low cost, then you want to go fully UUV and elimate crew spaces and logistics altogether.
4 years ago by sudosysgen
ASW is highly targeted, there is no way to try to detect submarines over long distances. So unless they want to spend millions and millions targetting exactly these submarines it won't work.
4 years ago by brmgb
> I find it hard to believe there's anti-sub tech that can tell if a given vessel is being operated by cartel members or the Russian navy.
Without betraying any secrets, the army can know a lot (I mean a lot) about an enemy submarine by its acoustic signature alone. Picking apart a drug smuggling sub from a military sub is child play provided you can actually hear the military sub which is easier said than done.
> they can't tell without boarding the sub
The USA can't board an enemy sub unless it surfaces. That's not what an ASW operation is.
4 years ago by jojobas
Mathias Rust landed on Red Square.
The military are concerned with somewhat different threats than a rusty barrel or cocaine.
I wonder if any drug people ever thought of small unmanned solar-powered boats - these could be even stealthier.
4 years ago by sterlind
Rust's landing was actually a huge black eye to Soviet military and intelligence. From what I recall, their radar techs reported the contact but the chain of command fell to pieces, especially between handoffs.
4 years ago by jojobas
His plane has been intercepted and identified as a Yak-12, at which point the military erroneously redesignated him as a flight rules violator as opposed to cross-border intruder.
A slightly different situation, but within the general "the eagle doesn't catch flies" pattern.
4 years ago by BLKNSLVR
I very much admire the irony of the ultimate conclusion of the long I-know-you-know game: Pure observation; non-interventionalism.
Inability to act for fear of losing the value of the method of information gathering that provided the requirement to make the decision to act or not.
International espionage revealed as nihilism.
4 years ago by maxerickson
In WW2, the US would send spotter planes out into the Pacific where they knew Japanese boats were, wait for them to report that they had been spotted, and then attack.
So inaction isn't inevitable, it's a choice.
4 years ago by perl4ever
aka "parallel construction"
4 years ago by supernova87a
Well, to be accurate, these vessels are usually not fully submersible / true submarines. That would require a level of engineering and cost that is probably not worth it for smugglers.
These are semi-submersed "snorkeling" vessels that breath surface air and ride just under the water, which makes it much simpler to design/build + operate.
The real goal is to get most of the ship off the surface where it can be easily detected. Semi-submersible is good enough for that purpose.
I'm guessing various countries' navies (underwater sound detection) probably can detect these vessels with some accuracy if they wanted to, they just don't have the resources/time to go after them as their top priority.
4 years ago by 542354234235
> I'm guessing various countries' navies (underwater sound detection) probably can detect these vessels with some accuracy if they wanted to, they just don't have the resources/time to go after them as their top priority.
The ocean is huge and actual nation state subs are incredibly stealthy. It is far more feasible to just pay super close attention to all known subs and follow them out of known ports, focusing your tech on tracking them. Those narco "subs" just rely on how big the ocean is to avoid some patrol just happening to see them.
4 years ago by colourgarden
This is explained in paragraph four of the article.
4 years ago by freddie_mercury
Every post has comments that haven't read the article and then go on to give an explanation that they assume the article lacks.
It somehow feels like the HN equivalent of mansplaining.
4 years ago by unwind
I agree, it's a bit annoying.
But, in my opinion, in this particular instance it could be seen as a meta comment that the submission title is wrong. It says "submarine", but the vessel in question is not in fact a submarine and that is also annoying.
The title is supposedly written by someone who has read the article they're submitting, after all.
4 years ago by mastazi
Archive link in case original page is not loading for you:
https://web.archive.org/web/20210314215410/http://www.hisutt...
(This website currently has 2 articles on the HN home page and is being hit hard)
4 years ago by rhokstar
I briefly thought that the Narco sub was of Latin America origins and made its way to Europe. That would've been a wild story!
4 years ago by solarexplorer
This did happen a year ago https://elpais.com/politica/2019/12/13/actualidad/1576232797...
4 years ago by suifbwish
Why does it look like that site was built just for that one article?
4 years ago by soneil
Because it's actually 99% content? It's a slightly jarring look when you're used to "I know you're trying to read this, but here's 10 more articles that look better on our engagement rates than simply scrolling".
It's a major newspaper in Spain. First or second in the country depending on whether you're counting by online or print readership. It doesn't exist just for one article.
(Although with a little clicking around, it does appear most articles have a sidebar, and this one doesn't. No idea there.)
4 years ago by vlz
This article from the same site has pictures and also a cutaway of a transatlantic sub.
4 years ago by Yaggo
http://www.hisutton.com/The%20Escape%20of%20Bernd%20Boettger...
This link from the article's footer was even more interesting ā an escape from East germany using self-made "scuba scooter".
4 years ago by pvaldes
The article don't mention that is the first known narcosub that was being build directly in Europe. Is a further step in this arms race.
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